Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.033217 0.038737 0.044816 0.051996 0.060235 0.069382 0.080296
2025-08-17 0.024288 0.031293 0.039727 0.050590 0.064165 0.080524 0.101679
2025-08-24 0.018956 0.026652 0.036668 0.050565 0.069242 0.093349 0.126680
2025-08-31 0.014783 0.022495 0.033258 0.049216 0.072076 0.103407 0.149303
2025-09-07 0.012725 0.020758 0.032675 0.051387 0.079703 0.120542 0.183360
2025-09-14 0.010638 0.018522 0.030902 0.051399 0.084017 0.133291 0.212500
2025-09-21 0.008740 0.016187 0.028528 0.050003 0.085812 0.142275 0.236791
2025-09-28 0.007393 0.014505 0.026891 0.049452 0.088714 0.153076 0.264824
2025-10-05 0.006816 0.014070 0.027269 0.052292 0.097484 0.174096 0.311351
2025-10-12 0.006189 0.013420 0.027142 0.054170 0.104735 0.193220 0.356503
2025-10-19 0.005255 0.011991 0.025339 0.052680 0.105705 0.201528 0.383712
2025-10-26 0.004580 0.010965 0.024146 0.052155 0.108321 0.212895 0.417266
2025-11-02 0.003877 0.009765 0.022449 0.050451 0.108583 0.220195 0.444575
2025-11-09 0.003322 0.008790 0.021068 0.049194 0.109562 0.228922 0.475427
2025-11-16 0.002946 0.008165 0.020347 0.049227 0.113150 0.243005 0.517887
2025-11-23 0.002535 0.007369 0.019112 0.047939 0.113770 0.251207 0.549459
2025-11-30 0.002385 0.007219 0.019364 0.050071 0.122057 0.275810 0.616447
2025-12-07 0.002134 0.006746 0.018757 0.050091 0.125609 0.290834 0.664932
2025-12-14 0.001848 0.006115 0.017649 0.048731 0.125817 0.298691 0.698923
2025-12-21 0.001637 0.005657 0.016915 0.048195 0.127881 0.310765 0.743055
2025-12-28 0.001583 0.005667 0.017439 0.050969 0.138264 0.342378 0.832971
2026-01-04 0.001495 0.005552 0.017600 0.052803 0.146516 0.369849 0.915844
2026-01-11 0.001304 0.005058 0.016600 0.051349 0.146277 0.377553 0.954202